Posts tagged fantasy hockey

NHL Fantasy Hockey FanDuel Lineup for March 25, 2013

Hey, French-Canuck, just score for us. We’re depending on you!

Let’s continue rolling today. We squeaked by thanks to a brilliant shutout by Evgeni Nabokov and I cashed in the 50/50s and 3- and 5- player leagues that actually filled yesterday. Again, it was not pretty, but they count. This past weekend was some of the slowest for daily fantasy hockey, I am guessing, in large part, due to March Madness.
 
This lineup on FanDuel locks at 7:00pm East / 4:00pm West.
 
What is Daily Gaming?
 
In case you had not noticed, “daily gaming” has made giant strides in the fantasy sports world over the past two years. Daily games in fantasy hockey allow you the opportunity to pick a new team of your favorite players each night. Depending on the type of game you play, you could earn thousands of dollars in any given contest. The best part about this is that, in the majority of U.S. states, it is all legal so you do not have to go around talking about how you risked “jelly beans”.
 
Once you have registered for an account at FanDuel and have deposited $10 using PayPal (and I know that you have spent $10 on worse habits such as buying a case, yes, a case of Schlitz), all you need to do is choose a $1, $2 or $535 matchup in the draft lobby, pick your roster while staying under the $55,000 salary cap, and then sit back and enjoy watching your stats compile all night! I promise that it is a great and fun way to enjoy the NHL action on any given night and a simple way to win some quick cash if you know what you are doing (or if you follow my advice).
 
My 3/25/2013 NHL Lineup
 
Now that we have covered the basics, below is the lineup that I will use tonight in a $109 game and a handful of 50/50 games to ensure some payout, which has been my strategy over the past two and a half weeks. More often than not, I have finished inside the top 25 in these 50/50 games and while the payout is small, it somewhat hedges your cash in your head-to-head matchup if you happen to face a shark in any given day. Just to be clear, I play in 50 player 50/50 games as it is much easier, in my opinion, to finish in the top 25 than it is to finish in the top 50% of a smaller 50/50 game. That said, I do roll out the cash for the larger payout 50/50s if I feel great about my squad.
 
On with the lineup:
 
LW: Guillaume Latendresse ($5,800)
LW: Zach Parise ($7,000)
RW: Michael Frolik ($3,800)
RW: Pierre-Marc Bouchard ($4,800)
C: Jonathan Toews ($8,700)
C: Nazem Kadri ($7,500)
D: Duncan Keith ($5,400)
D: Jared Spurgeon ($4,300)
G: Corey Crawford ($7,600)
 
Salary remaining: $100.
 
As always, I anchored my team with the goalie that I think has the best chance to not only get the “W”, but is also likely to face a barrage of shots. The Devils have been firing the puck on net to the tune of well over 30 shots a game. That said, without Ilya Kovalchuk, while the SOGs may drop, the Senators have a better chance to win the game. At $7,100, I am thrilled to slot Ben Bishop in net, but I actually swapped him out for Corey Crawford at home against the Kings. I see the Senators continuing to roll at home and improve their 11-2-3 home record. At the -130 ML, 64% of the sharps like the Senators as well. Another team that has had success (other than the Blackhawks) is the Minnesota Wild. The Wild are road dogs, and are only 7-7-1 away from their home ice, but 67% of the sharps favor the Wild at +109. The makes sense as Minnesota has won 5 games in a row and 8 of their last 10. Three of the five wins during the streak were on the road against formidable teams in the Avalanche, Canucks and Red Wings.
 
As I set this lineup well before the games are played in any given night, please make sure you check my Twitter timeline close to the first puck drop to see if I have made any swaps. As always, the one item that I have not yet nailed down as of this posting is which netminder I want in my lineup.
 
Access to FanDuel
 
With our new partnership with FanDuel, you get to reap some of the rewards as a loyal reader of FantasyTrade411.com. If you click-through here and sign up for a new account with FanDuel, you will receive free money on your deposit when you put in the promo code “FT411″.  Thus, when you enter the promo code, you will receive an extra $5 for a $10 deposit; a $10 bonus for a $25 deposit; a $20 bonus for a $100 deposit; and a $30 bonus for a $200 deposit.
 
No matter how well you are doing in this shortened 2012-2013 fantasy hockey season thus far, it is never too late to head over to FanDuel, draft a new team for tonight’s NHL action and enjoy watching the games!
 
A 23-year fantasy sports veteran and a California and New York licensed corporate attorney by day, I am the managing editor/senior writer/general counsel of FantasyTrade411.com. I am also a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. Please feel free to contact me at any time on twitter @TheTonyM with your fantasy sports questions. Be sure to listen to my podcast “Sports Counseling with the Doc and Slim” with my radio partner, Michael Clifford (aka @SlimCliffy) on the Fantasy Trade 411 Radio Network.

NHL Fantasy Hockey FanDuel Lineup for March 22, 2013

Kid is smiling because his Blue Jackets are playing great hockey.

Another short slate of NHL games is on the docket tonight, which means you really have to hit on not just who will score, which team will win, but you also have to focus on which players are likely to be on the ice for a goal for or a goal against. Remember, FanDuel penalizes you one point for each -1.
 
If you played the lineup I posted on Twitter last night, you should have cashed in any format. I won a handful of 3-person, 5-person and 10-person leagues, in addition to cashing in on all 50/50s I entered.
 
This lineup on FanDuel locks at 7:00pm East / 4:00pm West.
 
What is Daily Gaming?
 
In case you had not noticed, “daily gaming” has made giant strides in the fantasy sports world over the past two years. Daily games in fantasy hockey allow you the opportunity to pick a new team of your favorite players each night. Depending on the type of game you play, you could earn thousands of dollars in any given contest. The best part about this is that, in the majority of U.S. states, it is all legal so you do not have to go around talking about how you risked “jelly beans”.
 
Once you have registered for an account at FanDuel and have deposited $10 using PayPal (and I know that you have spent $10 on worse habits such as buying a case, yes, a case of Schlitz), all you need to do is choose a $1, $2 or $535 matchup in the draft lobby, pick your roster while staying under the $55,000 salary cap, and then sit back and enjoy watching your stats compile all night! I promise that it is a great and fun way to enjoy the NHL action on any given night and a simple way to win some quick cash if you know what you are doing (or if you follow my advice).
 
My 3/22/2013 NHL Lineup
 
Now that we have covered the basics, below is the lineup that I will use tonight in a $109 game and a handful of 50/50 games to ensure some payout, which has been my strategy over the past two and a half weeks. More often than not, I have finished inside the top 25 in these 50/50 games and while the payout is small, it somewhat hedges your cash in your head-to-head matchup if you happen to face a shark in any given day. Just to be clear, I play in 50 player 50/50 games as it is much easier, in my opinion, to finish in the top 25 than it is to finish in the top 50% of a smaller 50/50 game. That said, I do roll out the cash for the larger payout 50/50s if I feel great about my squad.
 
On with the lineup:
 
LW: Chris Kunitz ($8,800)
LW: Vinny Prospal ($5,800)
RW: Troy Brouwer ($5,100)
RW: Johan Franzen ($6,000)
C: Sidney Crosby ($9,900)
C: Peter Holland ($3,700)
D: Fedor Tyutin ($4,200)
D: Matt Niskanen ($4,100)
G: Tomas Vokoun ($7,400)
 
Salary remaining: $0.
 
In case you have not been paying attention, the Columbus Blue Jackets have been playing fantastic hockey and their defense is a main reason why they have had recent success (seven wins in last ten games with the three losses coming in either a shootout or OT). Not surprisingly, Sergei Bobrovsky is the highest priced goaltender on FanDuel tonight. I would love to play him, but if you have been following me, I like to skimp on my goalies and use the cash for my skaters.  The moneyline on the Columbus / Calgary game has the Blue Jackets at -138, but I believe the line moves, especially considering the heavy money from the sharps on the Blue Jackets at -138. Before the puck drops, I would not be surprised to see them favored at a -150 moneyline.
 
Another game the intrigues me is the Pittsburgh / New York Islander game. At -151 right now, the sharps are all over the game and I would absolutely hammer the over 5. The Penguins have taken 2 of 3 in the series this season, but put up 6 goals against the Isles on March 10. I see no let down in the Penguin first line (Kunitz-Crosby-Dupuis). I would have started Dupuis over Franzen, but you can only play four players from one team on FanDuel.
 
As I set this lineup well before the games are played in any given night, please make sure you check my Twitter timeline close to the first puck drop to see if I have made any swaps. As always, the one item that I have not yet nailed down as of this posting is which netminder I want in my lineup.
 
Access to FanDuel
 
With our new partnership with FanDuel, you get to reap some of the rewards as a loyal reader of FantasyTrade411.com. If you click-through here and sign up for a new account with FanDuel, you will receive free money on your deposit when you put in the promo code “FT411″.  Thus, when you enter the promo code, you will receive an extra $5 for a $10 deposit; a $10 bonus for a $25 deposit; a $20 bonus for a $100 deposit; and a $30 bonus for a $200 deposit.
 
No matter how well you are doing in this shortened 2012-2013 fantasy hockey season thus far, it is never too late to head over to FanDuel, draft a new team for tonight’s NHL action and enjoy watching the games!
 
A 23-year fantasy sports veteran and a California and New York licensed corporate attorney by day, I am the managing editor/senior writer/general counsel of FantasyTrade411.com. I am also a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. Please feel free to contact me at any time on twitter @TheTonyM with your fantasy sports questions. Be sure to listen to my podcast “Sports Counseling with the Doc and Slim” with my radio partner, Michael Clifford (aka @SlimCliffy) on the Fantasy Trade 411 Radio Network.

NHL FanDuel Lineup for March 9, 2013 (LATE Lock)

My torrid point scoring pace is for you!

It was not a particular pretty night once again, but each of the lineups that I played last night finished in the money even if two of them tied with about 12 of you for both 23rd and 24th place. I will chalk that up as a win as we did earn a profit. In a few other upper-dollar 50/50s, I finished higher in the standings with a solid 32.4 FanDuel points anchored by a shutout by Viktor Fasth. The shutout put the lineup into the money. It is certainly better to be lucky than good. Today’s EARLY lock lineup is still playing so I will not know if we cashed until the last game finishes
 
If you have been following my lineups, we have now cashed in every lineup since last Friday for a total of ten total wins in a row, so I hope to keep it up. This lineup at FanDuel locks at 7pm East / 4pm West. It will only include the six later games.
 
What is Daily Gaming?
 
In case you had not noticed, “daily gaming” has made giant strides in the fantasy sports world over the past two years. Daily games in fantasy hockey allow you the opportunity to pick a new team of your favorite players each night. Depending on the type of game you play, you could earn thousands of dollars in any given contest. The best part about this is that, in the majority of U.S. states, it is all legal so you do not have to go around talking about how you risked “jelly beans”.
 
Once you have registered for an account at FanDuel and have deposited $10 using PayPal (and I know that you have spent $10 on worse habits such as buying a case, yes, a case of Schlitz), all you need to do is choose a $1, $2 or $535 matchup in the draft lobby, pick your roster while staying under the $55,000 salary cap, and then sit back and enjoy watching your stats compile all night! I promise that it is a great and fun way to enjoy the NHL action on any given night and a simple way to win some quick cash if you know what you are doing (or if you follow my advice).
 
My 3/9/2013 NHL Lineup (LATE Lock)
 
Now that we have covered the basics, below is the lineup that I will use tonight in a $109 game and a handful of 50/50 games to ensure some payout, which has been my strategy over the past two and a half weeks. More often than not, I have finished inside the top 25 in these 50/50 games and while the payout is small, it somewhat hedges your cash in your head-to-head matchup if you happen to face a shark in any given day. Just to be clear, I play in 50 player 50/50 games as it is much easier, in my opinion, to finish in the top 25 than it is to finish in the top 50% of a smaller 50/50 game. That said, I do roll out the cash for the larger payout 50/50s if I feel great about my squad.
 
On with the lineup:
 
LW: Max Pacioretty ($8,500)
LW: Colin Wilson ($4,700)
RW: Brendan Gallagher ($5,100)
RW: Pascal Dupuis ($5,800)
C: Steven Stamkos ($9,100)
C: Nazem Kadri ($6,600)
D: Roman Josi ($4,100)
D: Jacob Muzzin ($4,000)
G: Jon Quick ($7,100)
 
Salary remaining: $00.
 
I am setting this lineup fairly early in the day and as of this writing, Jon Quick has yet to be confirmed. The good thing is that I have an extra $400 to spare and if Quick isn’t confirmed prior to the lineup lock, I have room to make the swap. This evening, I swapped out Sidney Crosby for Steven Stamkos. Yes, the Lightning will get scored on, but I like Stamkos to do some scoring of his own. I also like Kadri and his third line to score, but not get scored on in the Penguins game. UPDATE: Made a LW adn D change.
 
As I set this lineup well before the games are played in any given night, please make sure you check my Twitter timeline close to the first puck drop to see if I have made any swaps. As always, the one item that I have not yet nailed down as of this posting is which netminder I want in my lineup.
 
Access to FanDuel
 
With our new partnership with FanDuel, you get to reap some of the rewards as a loyal reader of FantasyTrade411.com. If you click-through here and sign up for a new account with FanDuel, you will receive free money on your deposit when you put in the promo code “FT411″.  Thus, when you enter the promo code, you will receive an extra $5 for a $10 deposit; a $10 bonus for a $25 deposit; a $20 bonus for a $100 deposit; and a $30 bonus for a $200 deposit.
 
No matter how well you are doing in this shortened 2012-2013 fantasy hockey season thus far, it is never too late to head over to FanDuel, draft a new team for tonight’s NHL action and enjoy watching the games!
 
A 23-year fantasy sports veteran and a California and New York licensed corporate attorney by day, I am the managing editor/senior writer/general counsel of FantasyTrade411.com. I am also a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. Please feel free to contact me at any time on twitter @TheTonyM with your fantasy sports questions. Be sure to listen to my podcast “Sports Counseling with the Doc and Slim” with my radio partner, Michael Clifford (aka @SlimCliffy) on the Fantasy Trade 411 Radio Network.

NHL FanDuel Lineup for March 9, 2013 (EARLY Lock)

I will carry your lineup tonight. Don’t worry about it.

It was not a particular pretty night once again, but each of the lineups that I played last night finished in the money even if two of them tied with about 12 of you for both 23rd and 24th place. I will chalk that up as a win as we did earn a profit. In a few other upper-dollar 50/50s, I finished higher in the standings with a solid 32.4 FanDuel points anchored by a shutout by Viktor Fasth. The shutout put the lineup into the money. It is certainly better to be lucky than good.
 
If you have been following my lineups, we have now cashed in every lineup since last Friday for a total of ten total wins in a row, so I hope to keep it up. This lineup at FanDuel locks at 12pm East / 9am West. This lineup is for all games today, but it just locks early.
 
What is Daily Gaming?
 
In case you had not noticed, “daily gaming” has made giant strides in the fantasy sports world over the past two years. Daily games in fantasy hockey allow you the opportunity to pick a new team of your favorite players each night. Depending on the type of game you play, you could earn thousands of dollars in any given contest. The best part about this is that, in the majority of U.S. states, it is all legal so you do not have to go around talking about how you risked “jelly beans”.
 
Once you have registered for an account at FanDuel and have deposited $10 using PayPal (and I know that you have spent $10 on worse habits such as buying a case, yes, a case of Schlitz), all you need to do is choose a $1, $2 or $535 matchup in the draft lobby, pick your roster while staying under the $55,000 salary cap, and then sit back and enjoy watching your stats compile all night! I promise that it is a great and fun way to enjoy the NHL action on any given night and a simple way to win some quick cash if you know what you are doing (or if you follow my advice).
 
My 3/9/2013 NHL Lineup (EARLY Lock)
 
Now that we have covered the basics, below is the lineup that I will use tonight in a $109 game and a handful of 50/50 games to ensure some payout, which has been my strategy over the past two and a half weeks. More often than not, I have finished inside the top 25 in these 50/50 games and while the payout is small, it somewhat hedges your cash in your head-to-head matchup if you happen to face a shark in any given day. Just to be clear, I play in 50 player 50/50 games as it is much easier, in my opinion, to finish in the top 25 than it is to finish in the top 50% of a smaller 50/50 game. That said, I do roll out the cash for the larger payout 50/50s if I feel great about my squad.
 
On with the lineup:
 
LW: Max Pacioretty ($8,500)
LW: Dustin Penner ($4,500)
RW: Brendan Gallagher ($5,100)
RW: James Neal ($8,500)
C: Sidney Crosby ($9,900)
C: Nicklas Backstrom ($6,500)
D: Dougie Hamilton ($4,500)
D: Roman Josi ($4,100)
G: Jake Allen ($3,300)
 
Salary remaining: $100.
 
Anchoring my lineup is the St. Louis Blues’ netminder. The Fredricton, New Brunswick native, who called up from AHL Peoria prior to the March 8 game against the Phoenix Coyotes. In winning the game to take his record to 4-1 on the season, Allen will start today’s game of the back-to-back weekend games for the Blues. At $3,300, I have plenty of extra cash to spend on my skaters. I’m going to continue to roll out two forwards on the Montreal first line as the Gallagher to Pacioretty combo has been deadly. Two nights ago I stated that I would continue to roll out Jakub Voracek until I thought that his price would exceed his value. I think that at $7,700 this morning agains the Bruins is too much. The Bruins do not give up many goals and I think their stout D shuts down the Flyers. I have studied the matchups for the better part of the evening and morning and I am having a tough time getting a read on who will win. I can tell you that I wanted to start Sid Crosby and James Neal against a pourous defense. UPDATE: I am actually going to hedge my bets with this early lineup and swap out Backstrom and Neal for Dupuis and Stamkos in another lineup. So, I’ll be playing two different early lineups. It’s your choice as to which one you roll. UPDATE.
 
As I set this lineup well before the games are played in any given night, please make sure you check my Twitter timeline close to the first puck drop to see if I have made any swaps. As always, the one item that I have not yet nailed down as of this posting is which netminder I want in my lineup.
 
Access to FanDuel
 
With our new partnership with FanDuel, you get to reap some of the rewards as a loyal reader of FantasyTrade411.com. If you click-through here and sign up for a new account with FanDuel, you will receive free money on your deposit when you put in the promo code “FT411″.  Thus, when you enter the promo code, you will receive an extra $5 for a $10 deposit; a $10 bonus for a $25 deposit; a $20 bonus for a $100 deposit; and a $30 bonus for a $200 deposit.
 
No matter how well you are doing in this shortened 2012-2013 fantasy hockey season thus far, it is never too late to head over to FanDuel, draft a new team for tonight’s NHL action and enjoy watching the games!
 
A 23-year fantasy sports veteran and a California and New York licensed corporate attorney by day, I am the managing editor/senior writer/general counsel of FantasyTrade411.com. I am also a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. Please feel free to contact me at any time on twitter @TheTonyM with your fantasy sports questions. Be sure to listen to my podcast “Sports Counseling with the Doc and Slim” with my radio partner, Michael Clifford (aka @SlimCliffy) on the Fantasy Trade 411 Radio Network.

NHL Fanduel Lineup for January 28th

It seems like the wave of the future in all fantasy sports is daily gaming. Being able to set different lineups every day just gives a person that fleeting moment of glee we all get on our regular draft days. I say this moment is fleeting, because it’s usually not long until some of us are looking at our drafted teams and saying to ourselves “this team is awful”. Daily Gaming provides us the opportunity to rectify that drafting mistake the following day instead of the following year.

 

That being said, I never dipped my toes into the daily gaming waters until this year’s fantasy football season and this marks my first attempt at daily fantasy hockey.

 

Daily Fantasy and PDO

 

When thinking about what model I’m going to use to optimize my line-ups, I remembered a brief exchange I had on Twitter with advanced hockey stat-guru Cam Charron where I asked about a good sample size for PDO. For those unfamiliar with PDO, there is a brief explanation here. For those too lazy to click, it is the sum of the on-ice save percentage and on-ice shooting percentage of a team when a specific player is on the ice. For example, Tyler Ennis’ PDO so far this year is .912 (on-ice save%) + 0.0675% (on-ice shooting%) for a total of 974. The average is 1000. Anything above 1000 will regress down and anything below 1000 should move up.

 

My mistake was assuming that PDO held better over the long-run. Mr. Charron told me that the best use of PDO is in small sample sizes, around 5-6 games is best. This should give you an indicator of someone due for a hot streak (like Ennis) or someone due to cool down like Cory Conacher, sporting a 1119. (PDOs for all players can be found at behindthenet.ca). And that’s where the application for daily fantasy hockey comes in. Daily gaming is about catching those guys that are due to heat up at the right moment and combining them with players you think are consistent performers.

 

I’m going to test this theory for the first few weeks of the season to see how it pans out.

 

Tonight's Wild Card (Wilson, C/LW - NSH)

Tonight’s Wild Card (Wilson, C/LW – NSH)

 
My Line-up ($55 000 salary)

 

LW – Colin Wilson (NSH), $4700 (845 PDO); Milan Lucic (BOS), $6700 (1057 PDO)

RW – Jordan Eberle (EDM), $7300 (1060 PDO); Alex Semin (CAR), $5900 (1042 PDO)

C – Eric Staal (CAR), $8000 (1094 PDO); Mike Richards (LAK), $5300 (842 PDO)

D – Justin Schultz (EDM), $4700 (985 PDO); Oliver Ekman-Larsson (PXH), $4400 (966 PDO)

G – Kari Lehtonen (DAL), $7900

 

$100 Left Over
 

 

I really like Colin Wilson both in real hockey and fantasy hockey and think especially with Chad Johnson getting his first NHL start tonight, he’s a good play. The other guy I’m relying on is Mike Richards. He has an extremely low PDO and the Kings as a whole have been improving the last couple of games. It’s a back-to-back situation for Vancouver and three games in four nights. If Richards gets some chances, he should cash big today.

 

Don’t forget, you can sign-up for Fanduel here and will get bonus money deposited into your account if you deposit with the promo code “FT411″. You get free money and get to play fantasy sports every day. You’ve spent much worse on $10, I know I have already today.

 

That’s my line-up. Good luck with yours and as always you can reach me on Twitter @SlimCliffy for your fantasy hockey questions!

 

 

Fantasy Hockey: The Curious Case of Alex Ovechkin

DO THIS MORE. (Ovechkin, LW/RW-WSH)

DO THIS MORE. (Ovechkin, LW/RW-WSH)

 

It seems like for a few years now, people have been asking themselves “what’s wrong with Alex Ovechkin?”

 

This is a guy who scored 45+ goals for five straight seasons and 50+ goals in four of those five. He has now scored under 40 for two straight years and is goalless through the first three games of this season.

 

There have been numerous positions on this subject from everyone across the hockey spectrum. These posits range from teams have him “figured out” to the coaches aren’t “using him right” and so on and so on…

 

After looking into it a bit (this conversation came up on Twitter and curiosity finally got the best of me), there are two things I found can readily explain his “decline” over the last couple of years:

  1. He has to shoot the puck. He is not a passer, he was his most effective when he was scoring more goals than he was assisting on. I’ll demonstrate why this is the case
  2. His team has been drawing less penalties, taking him out of his bread-and-butter zone, the power-play.

 

I had long thought the relation between his shot and goal rates was fairly linear, and it is:

 

Shots

 

Goals

 

We see similar trends in many of the years, notably: 2005-2006, 2006-2007 and 2009-2010. The variance in the other years can be explained with his shooting percentage rates:

 

Shooting %
05/06 – 12.2
06/07 – 11.7
07/08 – 14.6
08/09 – 10.6
09/10 – 13.6
10/11 – 8.7
11/12 – 12.5

 

You see how a high shooting percentage like in ’07-’08 can greatly alter your final goal total (he had 65) and a low shooting percentage can decimate it; He had 33 less goals in ’10-’11 comapred to that ’07-’08 despite taking just 80 less shots.

 

So that is a nuts and bolts explanation of my first conclusion. When it comes down to it, Ovechkin just isn’t shooting enough. If Ovechkin were to shoot his career average (5.11 shots/game) and shoot at his career shooting percentage of 11.9%, he would score 29 goals this year or push for 50 goals in a normal season. That is the Ovechkin we have come to know. If he wants to mitigate at least some of the variance in his shooting percentage – and if he shot 5.11 shots/game last year he could have had 50 goals, instead of the 38 he ended up with – he needs to shoot a whole lot more than he is. As of right now, he’s averaging 3.67 shots/game in this shortened season, what would be a career-worst.

 

This brings me to conclusion number two: his team has not been drawing enough penalties.

 

Washington PP Opportunities League Average
2007-2008 346 351
2008-2009 337 341
2009-2010 313 304
2010-2011 263 291
2011-2012 245 271

Ovechkin’s power-play time has been consistently declining for 6 years now (I’ll concede it’s still too early to really reach any conclusion about this year). This is directly a result of his team not drawing as many penalties. The league average for power-play opportunities declined four straight years from 2007-2011, so that is a part of it.

 

However, in any season from 2007-2010, the Capitals never drew any less than 5 total penalties less than the league average. In 2010-2011? They drew 28 less penalties than the league average. For a player that has over 100 power-play goals since the 2004-2005 lockout, that was a death-knell. It shouldn’t be any surprise then that Ovechkin scored a career-worst seven PP goals in 2010-2011 after scoring no less than 13 in any season previous to that and getting over 20 PP goals twice. Also, it should be noted, Ovechkin had his worst power-play shooting percentage of the last three years that season as well.

 

How did they do last year? They were fourth-worst in drawing penalties. If Ovechkin hadn’t shot his 12.6% on power-plays like he did last year (and he shot more often), he likely wouldn’t have cracked the double-digit goal mark on the power-play.

 

Time On Ice/Game Power-Play Time On Ice/Game
2007-2008 23:06 5:20
2008-2009 23:00 5:06
2009-2010 21:48 4:45
2010-2011 21:22 4:08
2011-2012 19:48 3:30
2012-2013 23:20 3:29

 

Obviously, this is a bit more nuanced than straight-forward shooting and drawing penalties. The game has changed over the last six or seven years to a more East-West game (cross-crease passes and passes through lanes) and a premium has been placed on shot-blocking.

 

But, like I showed, he needs to shoot more and his team needs to draw more penalties. He has gone from averaging over 6.5 shots/game in 2008-2009 to less than 3.75 shots/game now. Also, his team can’t go from drawing 3% more penalties than the league average as they did 2009-2010, to drawing 10% less penalties than the league average last year. It will spell disaster for a player who was once the most electrifying hockey player on the planet.

 

*all numbers courtesy of www.hockey-reference.com and www.behindthenet.ca

Fantasy Hockey: Introducing Chris Wassel

Welcome to the team, Chris!

Welcome to the team, Chris!

With football winding down, basketball in full-swing, hockey finally starting, and baseball about to get rolling, it’s been a busy time here at FantasyTrade411 lately.  But in addition to that, we’ve also had a very busy couple weeks adding some great contributors to the team (including FSWA newcomer of the year nominee, Kyle Soppe and our new Senior Fantasy Baseball writer, Mike Gianella).

 

In that vein, I’d like to introduce a brand-new addition to our Fantasy Hockey team, Mr. Chris Wassel!

 

Chris is one of the most knowledgeable hockey minds that I have ever come across and has literally forgotten more information about hockey than I’ll ever know. Along with writing for various sites like Dobberhockey, The Program, and The Hockey Writers, Chris is also an extremely talented podcast host and heads up the wildly successful The Hockey Writers Live on BlogTalk Radio.

 

I’ve been Manti T’eo-type Twitter friends with Chris for a while now and have always admired his work from afar, so needless to say, I’m REALLY excited to have him on board! He’ll be joining our staff as a Senior Fantasy Hockey Writer alongside our existing Senior Fantasy Hockey Writer, Michael Clifford. Cliffy has done such a great job expanding the fantasy hockey end of things for FantasyTrade411 that we’re going to need all the great help we can get to keep providing you guys the top-notch content you’ve come to expect from us. And when it comes to top-notch content, there is no better fantasy hockey source than Chris Wassel, so please join me in extending a HUGE FantasyTrade411 WELCOME ABOARD to Chris!

 

Oh, and while you’re at it…Chris just posted his first article for us the other day. Come check out Fantasy Hockey Injuries? Explained!
 

 

2013 Fantasy Hockey Draft Guide

If you don't download our fantasy hockey draft guide, you're bound to be cursed by Jaromir Jagr's mullet

If you don’t download our fantasy hockey draft guide, you’re bound to be cursed by Jaromir Jagr’s mullet

After way too many months of hearing about Gary Bettman and Donald Fehr, I was starting to think we’d never see the end of the NHL lockout. But thankfully, the suits in New York were able to put their differences aside and came to an agreeement that has Zambonis around North America revving up their engines.

 

Thankfully, our Senior Hockey Writer (Michael Clifford aka SlimCliffy) had the foresight to know there would be an end to the madness and has been working diligently on our 2013 Fantasy Hockey Draft Guide. In between hockey practice up in New Brunswick (yup, Mike is also our Head Canadian at FantasyTrade411), Mike has compiled 39 pages of unadulterated hockey excellence to help you all prepare for your upcoming fantasy hockey drafts, and I’m absolutely psyched to be able to share it with you all. We’ve published the entire guide into one handy pdf file that we’re going to send via email, but if you’re curious what’s in it, here’s a quick look at the table of contents, eh?:

 

  • Welcome to the Guide and Explanation of Fantasy Hockey
  • Layout of My Rankings
  • What to Expect in This Fantasy Guide
  • Draft Day Tips and Strategies
  • My 10 Commandments of the 2013 NHL Fantasy Season
  • Players That Should Improve on Last Year
  • Players Who Should Regress from Last Year
  • A List of Rookies to Watch For
  • A List of Sophomores to Watch for
  • Players You Will Find on a Lot of My Teams
  • Players You Will Not Find on Most of My Teams
  • Shallow-League Sleepers and Busts
  • Deep-League Sleepers and Busts
  • My Rankings: Preface
  • Rankings: Forwards
  • Forward Primer
  • Rankings: Defence
  • Defence Primer
  • Rankings: Goalies
  • Goalie Primer

 

As a thank you for  your continued readership to FantasyTrade411, we’re going to be providing this season’s Fantasy Hockey Draft Guide free of charge. That said, I can personally attest to the fact that Mike and his Sports Counseling co-host Tony M have put a TON of work into this draft guide, so I’m going to provide a donation button below if you feel like sending Mike a small token of your appreciation. If you want to send a few bucks to Mike for his work, we’d greatly appreciate it. If you want the guide for free, that’s cool too…it’s all yours.

 








 
So now, all you need to do is email me (FantasyTrade411@gmaill.com) or Cliffy (michael.clifford36@yahoo.com) and let us know you want a copy of the draft guide and we’ll be happy to send it your way.

 

Thank you all again for being such a great audience and good luck in your Fantasy Hockey drafts this week!

 

 

Fantasy Hockey Draft Strategy and What to Look For Late

Yes, the apparently age-less Teemu Selanne is still in the league!

Yes, the apparently age-less Teemu Selanne is still in the league!

While a lockout is a very unfortunate process which angered likely all who follow hockey; there are some positives.  The previous lockout revealed players of the likes of Tim Thomas and Henrik Lundqvist who may have never had NHL careers.  When the NHL shuts down the rest of the leagues flourish and hidden gems are uncovered.  It also allows players to refine their skills by playing on larger ice surfaces in a much more open game.  As an avid fantasy hockey player I can say that this drafting season has been one of the most entertaining I’ve experienced.  In this article I will discuss sleeper potentials and draft suggestions.

 

My picks are based on standard format 12-man Rotisserie and Head-to-Head leagues.  Categories including:
 
Skaters: Goals (G), Assists (A), Plus/Minus (+/-), Penalty Minutes (PIM), Powerplay Points (PPP), Shots on Goal (SOG).
 
Goalies: Wins (W), Goals Against Average (GAA), Save Percentage (SV%), Shutouts (SHO)
 
My feelings towards goalies are similar to that of pitchers in baseball.  There is still plenty of juice to squeeze late in the draft.  No reason to waste low round picks(Rounds 1-4) unless you’re seeing real value.  The same goes for defensemen.  The elite tier of defensemen consists of a handful of players who you will likely overpay for based on their limited availability.
 
The only exceptions to this rule for this season in my opinion are; Zdeno Chara on defense and Ilya Bryzgalov in net.  Both can be had in the 4th round.
 
Another thing to keep in mind while drafting is during the recent evolution of the NHL.  Young players are starting to make big impacts early in their careers.  A key component to fantasy success is cashing in on some of the young new names.  So don’t be afraid to go after a young guy with upside over a veteran whose showed signs of wear.  It’s also much more likely the younger guy has been seeing game action most of the lockout.
 
Moving along I’ll get into the sleepers ranked by position.  The center category likely provides the most depth where you can have legitimate expectations of production up until the last round. Sleepers will be guys going in the 11th round and later on average.
 
Sleepers: 

Center:

  1. Mikko Koivu – MIN 1st line/Power Play
  2. Vincent Lecavalier – TBL 2nd line/Power Play
  3. Mike Ribeiro – WSH 2nd line/Power Play
  4.   Stephen Weiss – FLA 1st line/Power Play

 
Right Wing:

  1. Kris Versteeg – FLA 1st line/Power Play LW/RW Eligibility
  2.  Teemu Selanne – ANA 2nd line/ Power Play

 
Left Wing:

  1. Alex Steen – STL  3rd line C/LW Eligibility
  2. Brandon Dubinsky – CLS 2nd line/Power Play C/LW Eligibility

 
Defensemen:

  1. Christian Ehrhoff – BUF
  2. Oliver Ekman-Larsson – PHX
  3. Alex Goligoski – DAL
  4. Matt Carle – TB
  5. Victor Hedman – TB

 
Goalies:

  1. Anders Lindback – TB
  2. Evgeni Nabokov – NYI
  3. Ondrej Pavelec – WPG

 
I’m selecting 1 forward, 1 defensemen and 1 goalie as my breakout sleeper candidates for this season.
 
Forward – Mikko Koivu – A healthy Mikko Koivu should be centering one of the best lines in the NHL this year.  With Dany Heatley and Zach Parise on his wings Mikko should see his first point per game campaign in the NHL.  He spent some time in Europe during the lockout so he shouldn’t be as rusty as most veterans.
 
Defensemen – Victor Hedman – The former Number two overall pick is starting to show signs of what drew the comparisons to fellow countrymen Nicklas Lidstrom.  Although his offensive production has been modest he should see a breakout year. He showcased his abilities in the KHL by scoring 21 points in 26 games.  He also produces a higher than average PIM total. If his offensive side translates to the NHL he will be a can’t miss fantasy player for years to come.
 
Goalie – Anders Lindback – No longer playing second fiddle to Pekka Rinne; Lindback will emerge as one of the world’s best.  The Swedish native has showed glimpses of brilliance while on the heavily defensive Predators.  He won’t have nearly the same help in front of the net but the 6’6 goalie should handle his first starting role well.  He spent time playing in Europe during the lockout unlike many of the starting goalies around the NHL.

 

Hopefully this guide will provide some insight as to what caliber of players you may see late in your draft and what traps to avoid.  Due to the limited schedule you’ll likely need to rely more so on your draft day than usual.
 
During the season I will be providing a weekly breakdown of waiver wire options and top players as well as a weekly review of the top prospects for the 2013 draft class.  I will also continue to play daily fantasy leagues and this year I will be tweeting a daily Player of the Day based on whom I think will be most productive for that night.  Thanks for reading good luck and drop the puck!

 

Dale grew up in New Jersey playing baseball and a lot of hockey.  He ended up pursuing hockey further and played in college for three years while obtaining a degree in Communication Studies. He’s been heavily involved in pools and fantasy sports since middle school and his interest and dedication has gone up dramatically in the past year since discovering daily fantasy leagues. His attention and interest in daily leagues has only further developed his ability in standard fantasy leagues in baseball, hockey and football.  Dale can be reached on Twitter at @threestardot for questions and comments.