The Final Football game of the 2012 NFL season is on the doorstep. Let’s be honest This Super Bowl doesn’t have much overall hype as one’s in years past but I mean it has stories from which that are compelling….of course the Harbaugh brothers, Randy Moss and of course the outspoken Ray Lewis are a few that come to mind. This will be about two teams with very different but similar stories that should make for a instant classic. Not gonna lie I’m kinda excited.Time to get the house prepped for those you may invite over for the Super Bowl festivities because lets face it if you aren’t planning on watching you simply aren’t American. Here are a few of my thoughts on Super Bowl XLVII:
49ers: Colin Kaepernick and the 49ers must run the ball to slow and tire out the aging defense. To accomplish this The 49ers must use Lots of no huddle. This will keep the Defense fresh due to an advantage in offensive time of possession.
Ravens: Joe Flacco must stay aggressive. He needs to continue to trust his receivers (namely Anquan Boldin) and make those tough throws in tight windows. The running game should help with this as it will force San Fran to stay honest leaving the Baltimore pass catchers to win one-on-one battles in man coverage.
49ers: Must play sound Coverage on Defense against Boldin/Smith/Pitta. Play aggressive but without causing the yellow laundry to fly. Can not give the Ravens free yards extending their offensive possessions.
Ravens:Must create lots of 3rd and long situations. Getting into too many favorable Third and 3 or less situations against this offense will keep them on the field longer tiring Ray Lewis and Co.
49ers: David Akers has been anything but reliable but is still being rewarded for his 2011 efforts with a week to rest maybe he can avoid doinking the ball off the uprights. The muffs on punt returns haven’t gone away since the Kyle Williams great one in the 2011 NFC Championship. I like LaMichael James to make a big play on Kickoff Return.
Ravens: Justin Tucker has been solid and hopefully continues to feed off his growing confidence. Jacoby Jones must make a play or two to give the Ravens the short field. Not to mention Ed Reed will make cameos on punt returns.
So, Who wins it all and why?? Ravens 31-24. Big brother always will beat little brother …Is my simplest explanation for it..It could go either way. I think the ball just bounces the Ravens way. You can also tune into “Perusing the Perimeter” SBXLVII Podcast on The FantasyTrade411 Radio Network to hear more in depth thoughts from myself and @JDBeckler @FFRittle and @Rickgasko. You can also download the podcast on I-Tunes .
But, before we close the book on the 2012 NFL season. Let’s take a look at few things we can do from a fantasy football perspective to make our 2013 season one where we find ourselves in the fake version of Super Bowl Sunday coming away with a victory shall we?!
RW3 (Russell Wilson) and Colin Kaepernick will be drafted as TOP 10 QBs….. so plan accordingly.
If you have fallen in love with the two young talented Quarterbacks for San Francisco and Seattle the price to pay for them will be high…The rushing yards and lack of turnovers make them solid 3-7 round selections …so do not get caught slipping here if you want the upside.
Gobble them up.
Above all else this season establish a nice stable of back by using at least 3 of your first 5 selections on an Running back. Grab as much Top 30 talent as possible to start the year and mid-season ship off a little bit of that depth to strengthen another position for the playoff push. This position has become an absolute must to hit on drafts due to vast amount of injuries this position suffers so having 3-6 Running backs in the Top 20 come Draft Day on your roster to start the year may seem crazy but it is better to be safe than sorry.
and to add to that Young Running Backs….
Trent Richardson and Doug Martin started the year as high risk high reward guys who for the most part paid huge dividends to owners. As for 2013 good luck getting those two after round one. So keep an eye out during the draft for certain teams Lions, Bengals, and Packers to name a few to go out and get them a running back within the first two rounds. With the incoming class of Running Backs being a deep and talented class. Pay close attention to NFL Draft to who goes where, add them to your queue come Draft Day, and pull the trigger in the 5th or 6th round…
If your name isn’t Megatron(Calvin Johnson), A.J. Green, or Julio Jones no way I will be drafting you until All Top 8 Quarterbacks are off the board and/or I have selected 5-6 Running Backs. In the new NFL, week to week an obscure name can have a great day being plucked from the Wavier Wire due to matchups. Not to mention guys like Josh Gordon, Justin Blackmon, and if he slips to due injury concerns Percy Harvin will be there in seventh round or later. Like I mention earlier with gobbling up Running Backs will help you be more flexible to make an upgrade later on in the season at a position that from week to week things can change greatly. Much like Drafting a Rookie Quarterback or Low Level Tiered Quarterback if you play matchups week to week and apply some theories you may run across in your weekly research this can certainly be done. The list below are of those who could have easily been found on the waiver wire that week scoring 15 points or more in ESPN Standard leagues this season.
Week of 2012 Season – Wide Receivers that could have been found on the Wavier Wire in ESPN standard scoring leagues
1 Kevin Olgetree 23, Stephen Hill 20
2 Danny Amendola 20
3 Golden Tate 18, Nate Washington and T.Y. Hilton 17
4 Brain Hartline 31, Andre Roberts 23
5 Josh Gordon 20, Robert Mecham and Devery Henderson 18
6 Mike Williams 17
7 Santana Moss and Andre Roberts 17
8 Titus Young 22
9 Golden Tate and T.Y. Hilton 16
10 Danario Alexander 19
11 Justin Blackmon 29, Julian Edelman 21
12 Chris Givens 17
13 Sidney Rice 15 and Golden Tate 15
14 Brandon Gibson 16
* After Week 9 TY Hilton scored 22 and 15 in Week 11 and 12 and Donnie Avery coming through in Week 13 with 21…This tells me Andrew Luck will make great strides next year and to keep his pass catchers on your draft list.
* James Jones if plucked from the waiver prior to Week 4 paid off big as Week 4-6 scored 18,17 and 15 points pretty much making him 100% owned after the run and making solid contributions down the stretch.
*It won’t be easy pinpointing these performances from the waiver wire but it can be done with a little luck and in some cases help from referees. Speaking of keep an eye out for The Seattle Seahawks to upgrade at the position if “RW3″ can make Golden Tate fantasy relevant so many times imagine a primer legit Number one receiver for him to throw to and the numbers he could put up…*drools*…. Sorry..lets keep it moving..
Tight Ends, Defenses and Special Teams, and Kickers
Wait until the last 3 rounds to select a Tight End, A D/ST, and a kicker in that order. Week to week play matchups. Having a Gronk/Hernandez/Graham could be nice in terms of consistency but why invest a higher pick at position where last year only 3 of the Top drafted Tight Ends (Gronk, Graham, and Tony G) warranted being must-starts week in and week out. Guys like Heath Miller,Kyle Rudolph, and Dennis Pitta were available that late this year or on the waiver wire. Same holds true for D/ST and Kickers as many reached for San Francisco D in round 6 or David Akers before second to last pick didn’t get anywhere near return on investment. While those who drafted or snatched from wire like Chicago D/ST or Kickers Blair Walsh and Greg Zuerlein far exceeded expectations.
Last tip of advice to sharpen your fantasy football game for 2013, get your ass on Twitter. If you do not have a Twitter account get one for the fantasy football content alone and thank me later. Make sure you Follow me @Whudey. Again, do not forget to listen to “Perusing the Perimeter” Special Super Bowl XLVII Podcast …